Global e-commerce Market Projected to Grow 55 Percent by 2025, FIS Study Finds
By Lauren Towner · 2 March 2022

The global e-commerce market is projected to grow more than 50 percent through 2025 to reach over $8 trillion in transaction value, according to a new report released today from financial technology leader FIS™.
The 2022 Global Payments Report by Worldpay from FIS examines current and future payments trends across 41 countries in 5 regions. Regarding 2021, the report found the shift to online continued with 13.9 percent growth in global e-commerce, while the 13.4 percent growth in point-of-sale (POS) transaction value reflects the steady recovery from the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Additionally, BNPL is projected to be the world’s fastest-growing payment method both online and in-store between 2021 and 2025, with consumer payment preferences continuing to shift towards digital payment methods.
e-commerce Payment Trends
The FIS report found:
- Global consumers continue to embrace BNPL, and by 2025 when it is projected to account for approximately 5.3 percent ($438 billion) of global e-commerce transaction value, increasing its share from 2.9 percent ($157 billion) in 2021.
- BNPL is projected to be the fastest-growing e-commerce payment through 2025 in, Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Chile, France, Hong Kong, India, New Zealand, Singapore, the UK and the US.
- BNPL accounted for 8.1 percent of Europe’s regional e-commerce transaction value in 2021, more than twice the share of North America’s 3.8 percent.
- In 2021, global e-commerce spending exceeded $5.3 trillion in transaction value and is projected to surpass $8.3 trillion by 2025.
- Digital wallets accounted for nearly half (48.6 percent) of global e-commerce transaction value in 2021, with the report projecting they are projected to represent 52.5 percent of e-commerce value in 2025.
- Use of traditional payment methods such as cards and cash-on-delivery continue to lose share and combined are projected to account for less than a third of global e-commerce transaction value by 2025.
- The global POS market grew 13.4 percent in 2021, nearing $46 trillion in transaction value.
- The global POS market is projected to grow by 26.2 percent between 2021 and 2025 when it is projected to account for nearly $59 trillion.
- Cash is projected to drop from 17.9 percent ($8.3 trillion) of global POS transaction value in 2021 to 9.8 percent ($5.8 trillion) by 2025.
- BNPL is the fastest growing payment method at the POS globally, and by 2025 it is projected to account for 1.6 percent ($941 billion) of global POS transaction value.
- Europe continues to lead in the use of BNPL at the point-of-sale, accounting for 1.9 percent of in-store payments in 2021.
Companies in this story: FIS